The Course Ahead For Trump’s Gaza Ceasefire Plan

U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 20-point Gaza ceasefire plan before the second anniversary of the Hamas-Israel war (October 7, 2023). Hamas responded positively but demanded changes, while Israel expressed dissatisfaction.

Background

  • The Gaza conflict continues after Hamas’s 2023 attacks and Israel’s prolonged military operations.
  • A previous U.S.-brokered ceasefire in January 2025 collapsed due to Israel’s unilateral withdrawal.
  • Trump’s new plan is seen as a “last chance for peace” but lacks clear commitments from Israel.

Trump’s 20-Point Plan

  • Ceasefire & Hostage Release: Hamas must release all Israeli hostages within 72 hours of ceasefire.
  • Hamas Obligations: Disarmament and withdrawal from Gaza.
  • Palestinian Authority (PA): Urged to reform or face exclusion.
  • Governance Structure: Gaza to be run by technocrats under an International Board of Peace led by Trump.
  • Security: International Stabilisation Force to maintain order.

Major Concerns & Gaps

  • No clear timelines for Israeli military withdrawal or territorial control.
  • West Bank issue and Palestinian statehood ignored.
  • Monitoring mechanism absent — U.S. and Israel retain control over implementation.
  • Plan shifts responsibility to Hamas, while reducing pressure on Israel.
  • Fighting may continue during implementation, undermining ceasefire credibility.

Political & Regional Reactions

  • Hamas: Accepts negotiation but rejects international governance of Gaza.
  • Israel: Unhappy with conditions; prioritises hostage return.
  • Gulf Countries: Limited involvement due to strategic ties with U.S. and Israel.

Implications

  • The plan risks becoming a tool of surrender, not a peace roadmap.
  • Could legitimise Israel’s continued presence in Gaza.
  • Lacks path to elections or self-determination for Palestinians.
  • Two-state solution sidelined, contrary to UN resolutions.

Conclusion

Trump’s ceasefire plan provides a framework but not a genuine peace deal. Without binding timelines, balanced obligations, and international oversight, it may fail to restore stability or address the core Palestinian question.

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